The question about the future of European markets can be formulated as: whether they will follow America?
Before the crisis, according to the data of Deutsche Bank Research, European markets had developed synchronously with American one. Especially high correlation was in Britain, Holland, Denmark, Ireland, Spain, France and Sweden. At that, consider German analytics, prices for real estate in some countries of the Europe have obviously left the limits of common sense. «Investments into residential real estate differ from investments in shares and bonds by that it not only the object of gamble, but also consumer goods. Therefore, considering results of overpricing in this segment, experts can’t be limited only to simple calculations of cost and rent rates. They should take into account the factor of moderateness. And at a present price level residential real estate becomes inaccessible to consumers», - is marked in the report of Deutsche Bank Research.
The American crisis has already doubly struck the European real estate market: through the crisis of liquidity in the financial markets (in particular, in Europe mortgage credit rates have grown) and through expectations of recession in American and world economies.
It looks like Europe has already started to react to the American history. The prices for dwelling in second half of 2007 in Great Britain, Ireland, Spain and France have insignificantly eased. The French national federation of real estate agents has informed about falling of prices for residential real estate by 1 % in the third quarter of 2007 in comparison with the second quarter - for the first time since 1998. The Irish Research Institute of Economy and Sociology and mortgage bank Permanent have informed, that cost of apartment houses in Ireland has lowered by 1,9 % in August in comparison with similar month of the last year.